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Yankees to Pounce on Red Sox Early in Game 3 Monday at New York


Well, at least one of the four LDS matchups will last longer than three games after the Yankees pulled even with the Red Sox on Saturday with a 6-2 victory as small favorites on the baseball odds board. The series now shifts to New York for Games 3 and 4, with Monday’s contest expected to be a rematch of a pretty good pitchers’ duel from a couple of months ago in Boston.

After making a short relief appearance in Boston’s 5-4 win in the ALDS opener, Rick Porcello (17-7, 4.26) is listed on the Red Sox MLB.com site as their starter for Game 3. Luis Severino (19-8, 3.31), who started New York’s 7-2 win over Oakland in the AL Wild Card Game, will get the ball again from manager Aaron Boone. The two met at Fenway in August, Porcello going the distance with a 1-hitter in a 4-1 Boston win that Bookmaker closed the Red Sox on a +115 underdog line.

Yanks 3-0 At Home When Severino Faced Boston
Porcello faced the Yankees three other times during the regular season, one of those outings a short 2-inning tune-up for the postseason on the final weekend. The Red Sox won all three of his starts against New York that took place in Boston, but lost the only one at Yankee Stadium with Porcello working into the sixth and allowing five runs. Severino encountered the Red Sox five times during the regular season, the Yankees winning all three of his home assignments while the Dominican surrendered just three runs in nearly 20 innings of work.

After going hitless in Game 2, Andrew Benintendi should be looking forward to facing Severino on Monday. Benintendi is 11-for-27 (.407) lifetime against the New York hurler, six of those 11 hits going for extra bases. Gary Sanchez, who homered twice on Saturday, has not had much success against Porcello, hitting just .154 (2-13) with both base knocks singles.

Warm & Muggy In Big Apple On Monday
Of course, with this series now being stretched to at least four games, that means we are assured to see Angel Hernandez behind the plate for a contest. That won’t come until Game 4 on Tuesday, however, with crew chief Mike Winters calling balls and strikes in Game 3. The Californian’s 28 plate assignments this season ran 14-13-1, one of the "over" winners a road start by Severino against the Rays.

The weatherman is listing a 20% chance for a stray shower to turn up in New York on Monday, leaving some muggy temps in the upper-60s with just a hint of an ESE breeze (in from right-center) at game time. My forecast calls for the Yankees to jump on Porcello for a couple of runs early, and will make my MLB pick on the home team to take one more step toward returning to the ALCS.

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